Resilience of natural gas networks during conflicts, crises and disruptions.
- Carvalho R School of Mathematical Sciences, Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom.
- Buzna L University of Zilina, Univerzitna 8215/1, Zilina, Slovakia.
- Bono F European Laboratory for Structural Assessment, Institute for the Protection and Security of the Citizen (IPSC), Joint Research Centre, Ispra(VA), Italy.
- Masera M Energy Security Unit, Institute for Energy and Transport, Joint Research Centre, Petten, The Netherlands.
- Arrowsmith DK School of Mathematical Sciences, Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom.
- Helbing D ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland; Risk Center, ETH Zurich, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Zurich, Switzerland.
- 2014-03-14
Published in:
- PloS one. - 2014
English
Human conflict, geopolitical crises, terrorist attacks, and natural disasters can turn large parts of energy distribution networks offline. Europe's current gas supply network is largely dependent on deliveries from Russia and North Africa, creating vulnerabilities to social and political instabilities. During crises, less delivery may mean greater congestion, as the pipeline network is used in ways it has not been designed for. Given the importance of the security of natural gas supply, we develop a model to handle network congestion on various geographical scales. We offer a resilient response strategy to energy shortages and quantify its effectiveness for a variety of relevant scenarios. In essence, Europe's gas supply can be made robust even to major supply disruptions, if a fair distribution strategy is applied.
- Language
-
- English
- Open access status
- gold
- Identifiers
-
- DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0090265
- PMID 24621655
- Persistent URL
- https://sonar.ch/global/documents/36663
Statistics
Document views: 54
File downloads:
- Full-text: 0