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Mutualistic interactions reshuffle the effects of climate change on plants across the tree of life.

  • Bascompte J Department of Evolutionary Biology and Environmental Studies, University of Zurich, Winterthurerstrasse 190, CH-8057 Zürich, Switzerland.
  • García MB Instituto Pirenaico de Ecología (IPE-CSIC), Apartado 13034, E-50080 Zaragoza, Spain.
  • Ortega R Department of Evolutionary Biology and Environmental Studies, University of Zurich, Winterthurerstrasse 190, CH-8057 Zürich, Switzerland.
  • Rezende EL Department of Life Sciences, University of Roehampton, Holybourne Avenue, London SW15 4JD, UK.
  • Pironon S Instituto Pirenaico de Ecología (IPE-CSIC), Apartado 13034, E-50080 Zaragoza, Spain.
  • 2019-05-21
Published in:
  • Science advances. - 2019
Animals
Biodiversity
Climate
Climate Change
Computer Simulation
Ecosystem
Europe
Extinction, Biological
Geography
Insecta
Linear Models
Phylogeny
Plant Physiological Phenomena
Plants
Pollination
Population Dynamics
ROC Curve
Risk
Stochastic Processes
Symbiosis
English Climatically induced local species extinctions may trigger coextinction cascades, thus driving many more species to extinction than originally predicted by species distribution models. Using seven pollination networks across Europe that include the phylogeny and life history traits of plants, we show a substantial variability across networks in climatically predicted plant extinction-and particularly the subsequent coextinction-rates, with much higher values in Mediterranean than Eurosiberian networks. While geographic location best predicts the probability of a plant species to be driven to extinction by climate change, subsequent coextinctions are best predicted by the local network of interactions. These coextinctions not only increase the total number of plant species being driven to extinction but also add a bias in the way the major taxonomic and functional groups are pruned.
Language
  • English
Open access status
gold
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Persistent URL
https://sonar.ch/global/documents/47741
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