Global modeling of nature’s contributions to people
Journal article

Global modeling of nature’s contributions to people

  • Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca ORCID Institute on the Environment, University of Minnesota, Saint Paul, MN 55108, USA.
  • Sharp, Richard P. ORCID Natural Capital Project, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
  • Weil, Charlotte ORCID Natural Capital Project, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
  • Bennett, Elena M. ORCID Department of Natural Resource Sciences, McGill University, Sainte-Anne-de-Bellevue, Québec H9X 3V9, Canada.
  • Pascual, Unai ORCID Centre for Development and Environment, University of Bern, 3012 Bern, Switzerland.
  • Arkema, Katie K. ORCID School of Environmental and Forest Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA.
  • Brauman, Kate A. ORCID Institute on the Environment, University of Minnesota, Saint Paul, MN 55108, USA.
  • Bryant, Benjamin P. ORCID Water in the West, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
  • Guerry, Anne D. ORCID School of Environmental and Forest Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA.
  • Haddad, Nick M. ORCID Kellogg Biological Station, Department of Integrative Biology, Hickory Corners, MI 49060, USA.
  • Hamann, Maike ORCID Humphrey School of Public Affairs, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN 55455, USA.
  • Hamel, Perrine ORCID Natural Capital Project, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
  • Johnson, Justin A. Institute on the Environment, University of Minnesota, Saint Paul, MN 55108, USA.
  • Mandle, Lisa ORCID Natural Capital Project, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
  • Pereira, Henrique M. ORCID CIBIO (Research Centre in Biodiversity and Genetic Resources)–InBIO (Research Network in Biodiversity and Evolutionary Biology), Universidade do Porto, 4485-661 Vairão, Portugal.
  • Polasky, Stephen ORCID Department of Applied Economics, University of Minnesota, Saint Paul, MN 55108, USA.
  • Ruckelshaus, Mary ORCID School of Environmental and Forest Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA.
  • Shaw, M. Rebecca ORCID World Wildlife Fund, San Francisco, CA 94105, USA.
  • Silver, Jessica M. ORCID School of Environmental and Forest Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA.
  • Vogl, Adrian L. ORCID Natural Capital Project, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
  • Daily, Gretchen C. ORCID Center for Conservation Biology, Department of Biology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
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  • 2019-10-10
Published in:
  • Science. - American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS). - 2019, vol. 366, no. 6462, p. 255-258
English The magnitude and pace of global change demand rapid assessment of nature and its contributions to people. We present a fine-scale global modeling of current status and future scenarios for several contributions: water quality regulation, coastal risk reduction, and crop pollination. We find that where people’s needs for nature are now greatest, nature’s ability to meet those needs is declining. Up to 5 billion people face higher water pollution and insufficient pollination for nutrition under future scenarios of land use and climate change, particularly in Africa and South Asia. Hundreds of millions of people face heightened coastal risk across Africa, Eurasia, and the Americas. Continued loss of nature poses severe threats, yet these can be reduced 3- to 10-fold under a sustainable development scenario.
Language
  • English
Open access status
closed
Identifiers
Persistent URL
https://sonar.ch/global/documents/60850
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