Long-term thermal sensitivity of Earth's tropical forests.
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Sullivan MJP
School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK. martin.sullivan@mmu.ac.uk.
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Lewis SL
School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
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Affum-Baffoe K
Mensuration Unit, Forestry Commission of Ghana, Kumasi, Ghana.
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Castilho C
Embrapa Roraima, Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation (EMBRAPA), Brasília, Brazil.
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Costa F
Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia (INPA), Manaus, Brazil.
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Sanchez AC
Department of Ecosystem Science and Sustainability, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA.
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Ewango CEN
DR Congo Programme, Wildlife Conservation Society, Kisangani, Democratic Republic of Congo.
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Hubau W
School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
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Marimon B
UNEMAT - Universidade do Estado de Mato Grosso, Nova Xavantina-MT, Brazil.
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Monteagudo-Mendoza A
Jardín Botánico de Missouri, Oxapampa, Peru.
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Qie L
School of Life Sciences, University of Lincoln, Lincoln, UK.
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Sonké B
Plant Systematics and Ecology Laboratory, Higher Teachers' Training College, University of Yaoundé I, Yaoundé, Cameroon.
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Martinez RV
Jardín Botánico de Missouri, Oxapampa, Peru.
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Baker TR
School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
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Brienen RJW
School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
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Feldpausch TR
Geography, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.
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Galbraith D
School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
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Gloor M
School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
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Malhi Y
Environmental Change Institute, School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
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Aiba SI
Faculty of Environmental Earth Science, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan.
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Alexiades MN
School of Anthropology and Conservation, University of Kent, Canterbury, UK.
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Almeida EC
Instituto de Biodiversidade e Florestas, Universidade Federal do Oeste do Pará, Santarém - PA, Brazil.
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de Oliveira EA
Universidade do Estado de Mato Grosso, Cáceres - MT, Brazil.
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Dávila EÁ
Escuela de Ciencias Agrícolas, Pecuarias y del Medio Ambiente, National Open University and Distance, Bogotá, Colombia.
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Loayza PA
Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA.
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Andrade A
Projeto Dinâmica Biológica de Fragmentos Florestais, Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia, Manaus, Brazil.
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Vieira SA
Universidade Estadual de Campinas, Campinas, SP, Brazil.
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Aragão LEOC
Geography, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.
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Araujo-Murakami A
Museo de Historia Natural Noel Kempff Mercado, Universidad Autónoma Gabriel René Moreno, Santa Cruz, Bolivia.
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Arets EJMM
Wageningen Environmental Research, Wageningen, Netherlands.
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Arroyo L
Dirección de la Carrera de Biología, Universidad Autónoma Gabriel René Moreno, Santa Cruz, Bolivia.
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Ashton P
Department of Organismic and Evolutionary Biology, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA.
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Aymard C G
Programa de Ciencias del Agro y el Mar, Herbario Universitario, Guanare, Venezuela.
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Baccaro FB
Departamento de Biologia, Universidade Federal do Amazonas, Manaus, Brazil.
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Banin LF
UK Centre of Ecology and Hydrology, Penicuik, UK.
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Baraloto C
International Center for Tropical Botany, Department of Biological Sciences, Florida International University, Miami, FL, USA.
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Camargo PB
Centro de Energia Nuclear na Agricultura, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, SP, Brazil.
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Barlow J
Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK.
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Barroso J
Centro Multidisciplinar, Universidade Federal do Acre, Cruzeiro do Sul, AC, Brazil.
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Bastin JF
Institure of Integrative Biology, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
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Batterman SA
School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
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Beeckman H
Service of Wood Biology, Royal Museum for Central Africa, Tervuren, Belgium.
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Begne SK
School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
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Bennett AC
School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
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Berenguer E
Environmental Change Institute, School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
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Berry N
The Landscapes and Livelihoods Group, Edinburgh, UK.
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Blanc L
UR Forest and Societies, CIRAD, Montpellier, France.
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Boeckx P
Isotope Bioscience Laboratory (ISOFYS), Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium.
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Bogaert J
Gembloux Agro-Bio Tech, University of Liège, Liège, Belgium.
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Bonal D
UMR Silva, INRAE, Nancy, France.
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Bongers F
Forest Ecology and Forest Management Group, Wageningen University, Wageningen, Netherlands.
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Bradford M
CSIRO Land and Water, Australia.
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Brearley FQ
Department of Natural Sciences, Manchester Metropolitan University, Manchester, UK.
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Brncic T
Congo Programme, Wildlife Conservation Society, Brazzavile, Republic of Congo.
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Brown F
Woods Hole Research Center, Falmouth, MA, USA.
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Burban B
INRAE, UMR EcoFoG, CNRS, CIRAD, AgroParisTech, Université des Antilles, Université de Guyane, 97310 Kourou, French Guiana.
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Camargo JL
Projeto Dinâmica Biológica de Fragmentos Florestais, Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia, Manaus, Brazil.
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Castro W
Programa de Pós-Graduação Ecologia e Manejo de Recursos Naturais, Universidade Federal do Acre, Rio Branco, AC, Brazil.
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Céron C
Herbario Alfredo Paredes, Universidad Central del Ecuador, Quito, Ecuador.
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Ribeiro SC
Centro de Ciências Biológicas e da Natureza, Universidade Federal do Acre, Rio Branco, AC, Brazil.
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Moscoso VC
Jardín Botánico de Missouri, Oxapampa, Peru.
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Chave J
Laboratoire Évolution et Diversité Biologique, UMR 5174 (CNRS/IRD/UPS), CNRS, Toulouse, France.
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Chezeaux E
Rougier-Gabon, Libreville, Gabon.
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Clark CJ
Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA.
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de Souza FC
School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
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Collins M
Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, London, UK.
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Comiskey JA
Inventory and Monitoring Program, National Park Service, Fredericksburg, VA, USA.
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Valverde FC
Proyecto Castaña, Made de Dios, Peru.
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Medina MC
Universidad Nacional de San Agustín de Arequipa, Arequipa, Peru.
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da Costa L
Instituto de Geociências, Faculdade de Meteorologia, Universidade Federal do Para, Belém, PA, Brazil.
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Dančák M
Faculty of Science, Department of Ecology and Environmental Sciences, Palacký University Olomouc, Olomouc, Czech Republic.
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Dargie GC
School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
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Davies S
Center for Tropical Forest Science, Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute, Panama, Panama.
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Cardozo ND
Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Nacional de la Amazonía Peruana, Iquitos, Peru.
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de Haulleville T
Service of Wood Biology, Royal Museum for Central Africa, Tervuren, Belgium.
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de Medeiros MB
Embrapa Genetic Resources and Biotechnology, Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation (EMBRAPA), Brasília, Brazil.
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Del Aguila Pasquel J
Instituto de Investigaciones de la Amazonía Peruana, Iquitos, Peru.
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Derroire G
Cirad, UMR EcoFoG (AgroParisTech, CNRS, INRAE, Université des Antilles, Université de Guyane), Kourou, French Guiana.
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Di Fiore A
Department of Anthropology, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, USA.
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Doucet JL
Forest Resources Management, Gembloux Agro-Bio Tech, University of Liège, Liège, Belgium.
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Dourdain A
Cirad, UMR EcoFoG (AgroParisTech, CNRS, INRAE, Université des Antilles, Université de Guyane), Kourou, French Guiana.
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Droissart V
AMAP, Universite de Montpellier, IRD, CNRS, CIRAD, INRAE, Montpellier, France.
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Duque LF
Socioecosistemas y Cambio Climatico, Fundacion con Vida, Medellín, Colombia.
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Ekoungoulou R
School of Forestry, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing, China.
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Elias F
Institute of Biological Sciences, Universidade Federal do Pará, Belém, PA, Brazil.
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Erwin T
National Museum of Natural History, Smithsonian Institution, Washington, DC, USA.
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Esquivel-Muelbert A
School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
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Fauset S
School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Plymouth, Plymouth, UK.
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Ferreira J
Embrapa Amazônia Oriental, Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation (EMBRAPA), Brasília, Brazil.
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Llampazo GF
Universidad Nacional Jorge Basadre de Grohmann (UNJBG), Tacna, Peru.
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Foli E
Forestry Research Institute of Ghana (FORIG), Kumasi, Ghana.
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Ford A
CSIRO Land and Water, Australia.
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Gilpin M
School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
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Hall JS
Smithsonian Institution Forest Global Earth Observatory (ForestGEO), Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute, Washington, DC, USA.
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Hamer KC
School of Biology, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
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Hamilton AC
128 Busbridge Lane, Godalming, Surrey, UK.
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Harris DJ
Royal Botanic Garden Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
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Hart TB
Lukuru Wildlife Research Foundation, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo.
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Hédl R
Institute of Botany, Czech Academy of Sciences, Brno, Czech Republic.
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Herault B
Isotope Bioscience Laboratory (ISOFYS), Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium.
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Herrera R
Instituto Venezolano de Investigaciones Científicas (IVIC), Caracas, Venezuela.
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Higuchi N
Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia (INPA), Manaus, Brazil.
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Hladik A
Département Hommes, Natures, Sociétés, Muséum National d'Histoire Naturel, Paris, France.
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Coronado EH
Instituto de Investigaciones de la Amazonía Peruana, Iquitos, Peru.
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Huamantupa-Chuquimaco I
Universidad Nacional de San Antonio Abad del Cusco, Cusco, Peru.
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Huasco WH
Universidad Nacional de San Antonio Abad del Cusco, Cusco, Peru.
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Jeffery KJ
Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Stirling, Stirling, UK.
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Jimenez-Rojas E
Instituto IMANI, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Leticia, Colombia.
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Kalamandeen M
School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
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Djuikouo MNK
Faculté de Gestion de Ressources Naturelles Renouvelables, Université de Kisangani, Kisangani, Democratic Republic of Congo.
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Kearsley E
Department of Environment, Computational and Applied Vegetation Ecology (CAVELab), Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium.
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Umetsu RK
PELD, Universidade do Estado de Mato Grosso, Nova Xavantina-MT, Brazil.
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Kho LK
Tropical Peat Research Institute, Malaysian Palm Oil Board, Selangor, Malaysia.
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Killeen T
Agteca, Santa Cruz, Bolivia.
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Kitayama K
Graduate School of Agriculture, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan.
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Klitgaard B
Royal Botanic Gardens Kew, Richmond, London, UK.
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Koch A
Department of Earth Sciences, University of Hong Kong, Pok Ful Lam, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.
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Labrière N
Laboratoire Évolution et Diversité Biologique, UMR 5174 (CNRS/IRD/UPS), CNRS, Toulouse, France.
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Laurance W
Centre for Tropical Environmental and Sustainability Science (TESS) and College of Marine and Environmental Sciences, James Cook University, Douglas, QLD, Australia.
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Laurance S
Centre for Tropical Environmental and Sustainability Science (TESS) and College of Marine and Environmental Sciences, James Cook University, Douglas, QLD, Australia.
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Leal ME
Uganda Programme, Wildlife Conservation Society, Kampala, Uganda.
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Levesley A
School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
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Lima AJN
Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia (INPA), Manaus, Brazil.
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Lisingo J
Faculté de Gestion de Ressources Naturelles Renouvelables, Université de Kisangani, Kisangani, Democratic Republic of Congo.
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Lopes AP
National Institute for Space Research (INPE), São José dos Campos, SP, Brazil.
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Lopez-Gonzalez G
School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
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Lovejoy T
Environmental Science and Policy, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA, USA.
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Lovett JC
School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
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Lowe R
Botany Department, University of Ibadan, Ibadan, Nigeria.
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Magnusson WE
Coordenação da Biodiversidade, Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia (INPA), Mauaus, Brazil.
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Malumbres-Olarte J
cE3c - Centre for Ecology, Evolution and Environmental Changes / Azorean Biodiversity Group, Universidade dos Açores, Angra do Heroísmo, Azores, Portugal.
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Manzatto ÂG
Laboratório de Biogeoquímica Ambiental Wolfgang C. Pfeiffer, Universidade Federal de Rondônia, Porto Velho - RO, Brazil.
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Marimon BH
Faculdade de Ciências Agrárias, Biológicas e Sociais Aplicadas, Universidad do Estado de Mato Grosso, Nova Xavantina-MT, Brazil.
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Marshall AR
Department of Environment and Geography, University of York, York, UK.
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Marthews T
UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, UK.
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de Almeida Reis SM
UNEMAT - Universidade do Estado de Mato Grosso, Nova Xavantina-MT, Brazil.
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Maycock C
School of International Tropical Forestry, Universiti Malaysia Sabah, Kota Kinabalu, Malaysia.
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Melgaço K
School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
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Mendoza C
Escuela de Ciencias Forestales, Unidad Académica del Trópico, Universidad Mayor de San Simón, Sacta, Bolivia.
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Metali F
Faculty of Science, Universiti Brunei Darussalam, Brunei.
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Mihindou V
Agence Nationale des Parcs Nationaux, Libreville, Gabon.
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Milliken W
Royal Botanic Gardens Kew, Richmond, London, UK.
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Mitchard ETA
School of Geosciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
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Morandi PS
UNEMAT - Universidade do Estado de Mato Grosso, Nova Xavantina-MT, Brazil.
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Mossman HL
Department of Natural Sciences, Manchester Metropolitan University, Manchester, UK.
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Nagy L
Institute of Biology, University of Campinas, Campinas, SP, Brazil.
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Nascimento H
Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia (INPA), Manaus, Brazil.
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Neill D
Facultad de Ingeniería Ambiental, Universidad Estatal Amazónica, Puyo, Pastaza, Ecuador.
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Nilus R
Forest Research Centre, Sabah Forestry Department, Sepilok, Malaysia.
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Vargas PN
Instituto Venezolano de Investigaciones Científicas (IVIC), Caracas, Venezuela.
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Palacios W
Carrera de Ingeniería Forestal, Universidad Tecnica del Norte, Ibarra, Ecuador.
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Camacho NP
School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
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Peacock J
School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
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Pendry C
Royal Botanic Garden Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
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Peñuela Mora MC
Grupo de Ecosistemas Tropicales y Cambio Global, Universidad Regional Amazónica Ikiam, Tena, Ecuador.
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Pickavance GC
School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
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Pipoly J
Public Communications and Outreach Group, Parks and Recreation Division, Oakland Park, FL, USA.
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Pitman N
Keller Science Action Center, Field Museum, Chicago, IL, USA.
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Playfair M
Centre for Agricultural Research in Suriname (CELOS), Paramaribo, Suriname.
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Poorter L
Forest Ecology and Forest Management Group, Wageningen University, Wageningen, Netherlands.
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Poulsen JR
Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA.
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Poulsen AD
Royal Botanic Garden Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
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Preziosi R
Department of Natural Sciences, Manchester Metropolitan University, Manchester, UK.
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Prieto A
Instituto de Ciencias Naturales, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Leticia, Colombia.
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Primack RB
Department of Biology, Boston University, Boston, MA, USA.
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Ramírez-Angulo H
Institute of Research for Forestry Development (INDEFOR), Universidad de los Andes, Mérida, Venezuela.
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Reitsma J
Bureau Waardenburg, Culemborg, Netherlands.
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Réjou-Méchain M
AMAP, Universite de Montpellier, IRD, CNRS, CIRAD, INRAE, Montpellier, France.
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Correa ZR
Socioecosistemas y Cambio Climatico, Fundacion Con Vida, Medellín, Colombia.
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de Sousa TR
Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia (INPA), Manaus, Brazil.
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Bayona LR
Centro de Conservacion, Investigacion y Manejo de Areas Naturales, CIMA Cordillera Azul, Lima, Peru.
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Roopsind A
Iwokrama International Centre for Rainforest Conservation and Development, Georgetown, Guyana.
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Rudas A
Instituto de Ciencias Naturales, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Leticia, Colombia.
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Rutishauser E
Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute, Panama, Panama.
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Abu Salim K
Faculty of Science, Universiti Brunei Darussalam, Brunei.
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Salomão RP
Universidade Federal Rural da Amazônia/CAPES, Belém, PA, Brazil.
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Schietti J
Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia (INPA), Manaus, Brazil.
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Sheil D
Faculty of Environmental Sciences and Natural Resource Management, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, Ås, Norway.
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Silva RC
Centro de Ciências Biológicas e da Natureza, Universidade Federal do Acre, Rio Branco, AC, Brazil.
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Espejo JS
Universidad de San Antonio Abad del Cusco, Cusco, Peru.
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Valeria CS
Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK.
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Silveira M
Centro de Ciências Biológicas e da Natureza, Universidade Federal do Acre, Rio Branco, AC, Brazil.
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Simo-Droissart M
Plant Systematics and Ecology Laboratory, Higher Teachers' Training College, University of Yaoundé I, Yaoundé, Cameroon.
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Simon MF
Embrapa Genetic Resources and Biotechnology, Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation (EMBRAPA), Brasília, Brazil.
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Singh J
Guyana Forestry Commission, Georgetown, Guyana.
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Soto Shareva YC
Jardín Botánico de Missouri, Oxapampa, Peru.
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Stahl C
INRAE, UMR EcoFoG, CNRS, CIRAD, AgroParisTech, Université des Antilles, Université de Guyane, 97310 Kourou, French Guiana.
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Stropp J
Departamento de Biogeografía y Cambio Global, Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (MNCN-CSIC), Madrid, Spain.
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Sukri R
Faculty of Science, Universiti Brunei Darussalam, Brunei.
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Sunderland T
Sustainable Landscapes and Food Systems, Center for International Forestry Research, Bogor, Indonesia.
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Svátek M
Department of Forest Botany, Dendrology and Geobiocoenology, Mendel University in Brno, Brno, Czech Republic.
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Swaine MD
Department of Plant and Soil Science, School of Biological Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, UK.
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Swamy V
Institute for Conservation Research, San Diego Zoo, San Diego, CA. USA.
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Taedoumg H
Department of Plant Biology, Faculty of Sciences, University of Yaounde 1, Yaoundé, Cameroon.
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Talbot J
School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
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Taplin J
UK Research and Innovation, Innovate UK, London, UK.
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Taylor D
Department of Geography, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
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Ter Steege H
Naturalis Biodiversity Center, Leiden, Netherlands.
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Terborgh J
Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA.
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Thomas R
Iwokrama International Centre for Rainforest Conservation and Development, Georgetown, Guyana.
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Thomas SC
Faculty of Forestry, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.
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Torres-Lezama A
Universidad de los Andes, Merida, Colombia.
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Umunay P
Wildlife Conservation Society, New York, NY, USA.
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Gamarra LV
Jardín Botánico de Missouri, Oxapampa, Peru.
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van der Heijden G
School of Geography, University of Notingham, Nottingham, UK.
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van der Hout P
Van der Hout Forestry Consulting, Rotterdam, Netherlands.
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van der Meer P
Van Hall Larenstein University of Applied Sciences, Velp, Netherlands.
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van Nieuwstadt M
Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands.
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Verbeeck H
Department of Environment, Computational and Applied Vegetation Ecology (CAVELab), Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium.
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Vernimmen R
Data for Sustainability, Axel, Netherlands.
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Vicentini A
Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia (INPA), Manaus, Brazil.
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Vieira ICG
Instituto Federal do Acre, Rio Branco, AC, Brazil.
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Torre EV
School of Environmental and Forest Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, OR, USA.
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Vleminckx J
International Center for Tropical Botany, Department of Biological Sciences, Florida International University, Miami, FL, USA.
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Vos V
Centro de Investigación y Promoción del Campesinado, La Paz, Bolivia.
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Wang O
School of Earth Sciences and Environmental Sustainability, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ, USA.
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White LJT
Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Stirling, Stirling, UK.
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Willcock S
School of Natural Sciences, University of Bangor, Bangor, UK.
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Woods JT
University of Liberia, Monrovia, Liberia.
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Wortel V
Forest Management, Centre for Agricultural Research in Suriname (CELOS), Paramaribo, Suriname.
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Young K
Department of Geography and The Environment, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, USA.
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Zagt R
Tropenbos International, Wageningen, Netherlands.
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Zemagho L
Plant Systematics and Ecology Laboratory, Higher Teachers' Training College, University of Yaoundé I, Yaoundé, Cameroon.
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Zuidema PA
Forest Ecology and Forest Management Group, Wageningen University, Wageningen, Netherlands.
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Zwerts JA
Centre for Agricultural Research in Suriname (CELOS), Paramaribo, Suriname.
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Phillips OL
School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
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Published in:
- Science (New York, N.Y.). - 2020
English
The sensitivity of tropical forest carbon to climate is a key uncertainty in predicting global climate change. Although short-term drying and warming are known to affect forests, it is unknown if such effects translate into long-term responses. Here, we analyze 590 permanent plots measured across the tropics to derive the equilibrium climate controls on forest carbon. Maximum temperature is the most important predictor of aboveground biomass (-9.1 megagrams of carbon per hectare per degree Celsius), primarily by reducing woody productivity, and has a greater impact per °C in the hottest forests (>32.2°C). Our results nevertheless reveal greater thermal resilience than observations of short-term variation imply. To realize the long-term climate adaptation potential of tropical forests requires both protecting them and stabilizing Earth's climate.
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green
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https://sonar.ch/global/documents/76186
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