Reconciling the Effects of Screening on Prostate Cancer Mortality in the ERSPC and PLCO Trials.
- Tsodikov A From University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan; Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington; Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands; National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland; Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom; Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Göteborg, Sweden; Johns Hopkins Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; University of Tampere, Tampere, Finland; Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri; University of Colorado, Denver, Colorado; Provinciaal Instituut voor Hygiëne, Antwerp, Belgium; Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland; Institute for Cancer Prevention, Florence, Italy; Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Parla, Madrid, Spain; and Université de Lille, Lille, France.
- Gulati R From University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan; Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington; Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands; National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland; Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom; Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Göteborg, Sweden; Johns Hopkins Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; University of Tampere, Tampere, Finland; Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri; University of Colorado, Denver, Colorado; Provinciaal Instituut voor Hygiëne, Antwerp, Belgium; Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland; Institute for Cancer Prevention, Florence, Italy; Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Parla, Madrid, Spain; and Université de Lille, Lille, France.
- Heijnsdijk EAM From University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan; Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington; Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands; National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland; Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom; Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Göteborg, Sweden; Johns Hopkins Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; University of Tampere, Tampere, Finland; Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri; University of Colorado, Denver, Colorado; Provinciaal Instituut voor Hygiëne, Antwerp, Belgium; Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland; Institute for Cancer Prevention, Florence, Italy; Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Parla, Madrid, Spain; and Université de Lille, Lille, France.
- Pinsky PF From University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan; Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington; Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands; National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland; Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom; Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Göteborg, Sweden; Johns Hopkins Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; University of Tampere, Tampere, Finland; Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri; University of Colorado, Denver, Colorado; Provinciaal Instituut voor Hygiëne, Antwerp, Belgium; Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland; Institute for Cancer Prevention, Florence, Italy; Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Parla, Madrid, Spain; and Université de Lille, Lille, France.
- Moss SM From University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan; Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington; Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands; National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland; Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom; Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Göteborg, Sweden; Johns Hopkins Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; University of Tampere, Tampere, Finland; Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri; University of Colorado, Denver, Colorado; Provinciaal Instituut voor Hygiëne, Antwerp, Belgium; Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland; Institute for Cancer Prevention, Florence, Italy; Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Parla, Madrid, Spain; and Université de Lille, Lille, France.
- Qiu S From University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan; Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington; Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands; National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland; Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom; Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Göteborg, Sweden; Johns Hopkins Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; University of Tampere, Tampere, Finland; Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri; University of Colorado, Denver, Colorado; Provinciaal Instituut voor Hygiëne, Antwerp, Belgium; Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland; Institute for Cancer Prevention, Florence, Italy; Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Parla, Madrid, Spain; and Université de Lille, Lille, France.
- de Carvalho TM From University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan; Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington; Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands; National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland; Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom; Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Göteborg, Sweden; Johns Hopkins Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; University of Tampere, Tampere, Finland; Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri; University of Colorado, Denver, Colorado; Provinciaal Instituut voor Hygiëne, Antwerp, Belgium; Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland; Institute for Cancer Prevention, Florence, Italy; Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Parla, Madrid, Spain; and Université de Lille, Lille, France.
- Hugosson J From University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan; Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington; Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands; National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland; Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom; Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Göteborg, Sweden; Johns Hopkins Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; University of Tampere, Tampere, Finland; Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri; University of Colorado, Denver, Colorado; Provinciaal Instituut voor Hygiëne, Antwerp, Belgium; Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland; Institute for Cancer Prevention, Florence, Italy; Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Parla, Madrid, Spain; and Université de Lille, Lille, France.
- Berg CD From University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan; Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington; Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands; National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland; Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom; Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Göteborg, Sweden; Johns Hopkins Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; University of Tampere, Tampere, Finland; Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri; University of Colorado, Denver, Colorado; Provinciaal Instituut voor Hygiëne, Antwerp, Belgium; Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland; Institute for Cancer Prevention, Florence, Italy; Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Parla, Madrid, Spain; and Université de Lille, Lille, France.
- Auvinen A From University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan; Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington; Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands; National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland; Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom; Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Göteborg, Sweden; Johns Hopkins Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; University of Tampere, Tampere, Finland; Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri; University of Colorado, Denver, Colorado; Provinciaal Instituut voor Hygiëne, Antwerp, Belgium; Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland; Institute for Cancer Prevention, Florence, Italy; Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Parla, Madrid, Spain; and Université de Lille, Lille, France.
- Andriole GL From University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan; Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington; Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands; National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland; Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom; Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Göteborg, Sweden; Johns Hopkins Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; University of Tampere, Tampere, Finland; Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri; University of Colorado, Denver, Colorado; Provinciaal Instituut voor Hygiëne, Antwerp, Belgium; Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland; Institute for Cancer Prevention, Florence, Italy; Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Parla, Madrid, Spain; and Université de Lille, Lille, France.
- Roobol MJ From University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan; Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington; Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands; National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland; Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom; Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Göteborg, Sweden; Johns Hopkins Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; University of Tampere, Tampere, Finland; Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri; University of Colorado, Denver, Colorado; Provinciaal Instituut voor Hygiëne, Antwerp, Belgium; Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland; Institute for Cancer Prevention, Florence, Italy; Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Parla, Madrid, Spain; and Université de Lille, Lille, France.
- Crawford ED From University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan; Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington; Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands; National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland; Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom; Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Göteborg, Sweden; Johns Hopkins Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; University of Tampere, Tampere, Finland; Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri; University of Colorado, Denver, Colorado; Provinciaal Instituut voor Hygiëne, Antwerp, Belgium; Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland; Institute for Cancer Prevention, Florence, Italy; Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Parla, Madrid, Spain; and Université de Lille, Lille, France.
- Nelen V From University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan; Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington; Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands; National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland; Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom; Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Göteborg, Sweden; Johns Hopkins Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; University of Tampere, Tampere, Finland; Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri; University of Colorado, Denver, Colorado; Provinciaal Instituut voor Hygiëne, Antwerp, Belgium; Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland; Institute for Cancer Prevention, Florence, Italy; Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Parla, Madrid, Spain; and Université de Lille, Lille, France.
- Kwiatkowski M From University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan; Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington; Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands; National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland; Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom; Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Göteborg, Sweden; Johns Hopkins Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; University of Tampere, Tampere, Finland; Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri; University of Colorado, Denver, Colorado; Provinciaal Instituut voor Hygiëne, Antwerp, Belgium; Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland; Institute for Cancer Prevention, Florence, Italy; Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Parla, Madrid, Spain; and Université de Lille, Lille, France.
- Zappa M From University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan; Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington; Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands; National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland; Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom; Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Göteborg, Sweden; Johns Hopkins Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; University of Tampere, Tampere, Finland; Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri; University of Colorado, Denver, Colorado; Provinciaal Instituut voor Hygiëne, Antwerp, Belgium; Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland; Institute for Cancer Prevention, Florence, Italy; Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Parla, Madrid, Spain; and Université de Lille, Lille, France.
- Luján M From University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan; Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington; Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands; National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland; Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom; Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Göteborg, Sweden; Johns Hopkins Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; University of Tampere, Tampere, Finland; Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri; University of Colorado, Denver, Colorado; Provinciaal Instituut voor Hygiëne, Antwerp, Belgium; Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland; Institute for Cancer Prevention, Florence, Italy; Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Parla, Madrid, Spain; and Université de Lille, Lille, France.
- Villers A From University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan; Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington; Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands; National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland; Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom; Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Göteborg, Sweden; Johns Hopkins Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; University of Tampere, Tampere, Finland; Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri; University of Colorado, Denver, Colorado; Provinciaal Instituut voor Hygiëne, Antwerp, Belgium; Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland; Institute for Cancer Prevention, Florence, Italy; Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Parla, Madrid, Spain; and Université de Lille, Lille, France.
- Feuer EJ From University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan; Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington; Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands; National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland; Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom; Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Göteborg, Sweden; Johns Hopkins Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; University of Tampere, Tampere, Finland; Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri; University of Colorado, Denver, Colorado; Provinciaal Instituut voor Hygiëne, Antwerp, Belgium; Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland; Institute for Cancer Prevention, Florence, Italy; Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Parla, Madrid, Spain; and Université de Lille, Lille, France.
- de Koning HJ From University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan; Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington; Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands; National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland; Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom; Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Göteborg, Sweden; Johns Hopkins Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; University of Tampere, Tampere, Finland; Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri; University of Colorado, Denver, Colorado; Provinciaal Instituut voor Hygiëne, Antwerp, Belgium; Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland; Institute for Cancer Prevention, Florence, Italy; Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Parla, Madrid, Spain; and Université de Lille, Lille, France.
- Mariotto AB From University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan; Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington; Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands; National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland; Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom; Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Göteborg, Sweden; Johns Hopkins Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; University of Tampere, Tampere, Finland; Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri; University of Colorado, Denver, Colorado; Provinciaal Instituut voor Hygiëne, Antwerp, Belgium; Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland; Institute for Cancer Prevention, Florence, Italy; Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Parla, Madrid, Spain; and Université de Lille, Lille, France.
- Etzioni R From University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan; Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington; Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands; National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland; Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom; Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Göteborg, Sweden; Johns Hopkins Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; University of Tampere, Tampere, Finland; Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri; University of Colorado, Denver, Colorado; Provinciaal Instituut voor Hygiëne, Antwerp, Belgium; Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland; Institute for Cancer Prevention, Florence, Italy; Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Parla, Madrid, Spain; and Université de Lille, Lille, France.
- 2017-09-05
Published in:
- Annals of internal medicine. - 2017
Aged
Early Detection of Cancer
Europe
Humans
Incidence
Male
Mass Screening
Middle Aged
Proportional Hazards Models
Prostatic Neoplasms
Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
Time Factors
United States
English
Background
The ERSPC (European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer) found that screening reduced prostate cancer mortality, but the PLCO (Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial) found no reduction.
Objective
To evaluate whether effects of screening on prostate cancer mortality relative to no screening differed between the ERSPC and PLCO.
Design
Cox regression of prostate cancer death in each trial group, adjusted for age and trial. Extended analyses accounted for increased incidence due to screening and diagnostic work-up in each group via mean lead times (MLTs), which were estimated empirically and using analytic or microsimulation models.
Setting
Randomized controlled trials in Europe and the United States.
Participants
Men aged 55 to 69 (ERSPC) or 55 to 74 (PLCO) years at randomization.
Intervention
Prostate cancer screening.
Measurements
Prostate cancer incidence and survival from randomization; prostate cancer incidence in the United States before screening began.
Results
Estimated MLTs were similar in the ERSPC and PLCO intervention groups but were longer in the PLCO control group than the ERSPC control group. Extended analyses found no evidence that effects of screening differed between trials (P = 0.37 to 0.47 [range across MLT estimation approaches]) but strong evidence that benefit increased with MLT (P = 0.0027 to 0.0032). Screening was estimated to confer a 7% to 9% reduction in the risk for prostate cancer death per year of MLT. This translated into estimates of 25% to 31% and 27% to 32% lower risk for prostate cancer death with screening as performed in the ERSPC and PLCO intervention groups, respectively, compared with no screening.
Limitation
The MLT is a simple metric of screening and diagnostic work-up.
Conclusion
After differences in implementation and settings are accounted for, the ERSPC and PLCO provide compatible evidence that screening reduces prostate cancer mortality.
Primary Funding Source
National Cancer Institute.
The ERSPC (European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer) found that screening reduced prostate cancer mortality, but the PLCO (Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial) found no reduction.
Objective
To evaluate whether effects of screening on prostate cancer mortality relative to no screening differed between the ERSPC and PLCO.
Design
Cox regression of prostate cancer death in each trial group, adjusted for age and trial. Extended analyses accounted for increased incidence due to screening and diagnostic work-up in each group via mean lead times (MLTs), which were estimated empirically and using analytic or microsimulation models.
Setting
Randomized controlled trials in Europe and the United States.
Participants
Men aged 55 to 69 (ERSPC) or 55 to 74 (PLCO) years at randomization.
Intervention
Prostate cancer screening.
Measurements
Prostate cancer incidence and survival from randomization; prostate cancer incidence in the United States before screening began.
Results
Estimated MLTs were similar in the ERSPC and PLCO intervention groups but were longer in the PLCO control group than the ERSPC control group. Extended analyses found no evidence that effects of screening differed between trials (P = 0.37 to 0.47 [range across MLT estimation approaches]) but strong evidence that benefit increased with MLT (P = 0.0027 to 0.0032). Screening was estimated to confer a 7% to 9% reduction in the risk for prostate cancer death per year of MLT. This translated into estimates of 25% to 31% and 27% to 32% lower risk for prostate cancer death with screening as performed in the ERSPC and PLCO intervention groups, respectively, compared with no screening.
Limitation
The MLT is a simple metric of screening and diagnostic work-up.
Conclusion
After differences in implementation and settings are accounted for, the ERSPC and PLCO provide compatible evidence that screening reduces prostate cancer mortality.
Primary Funding Source
National Cancer Institute.
- Language
-
- English
- Open access status
- green
- Identifiers
-
- DOI 10.7326/M16-2586
- PMID 28869989
- Persistent URL
- https://sonar.ch/global/documents/278043
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